Avalanche will be the winner.
Why?
There are 2 reasons.
1) The Architecture is unrivaled.
2) The Team is focused on growing the pie, not PVP.
For years now, Avalanche has followed the multichain vision and it still amazes me how other very tech savvy teams are just failing to see the big picture.
Every developer/tech person who has been involved in creating a big project knows that going the microservice route is the only way. And usually, most of those microservices use their own database.
A decent centralized databases (postgres etc...) can do 50k - 100k (write) TPS (with sharding).
The project I am currently working on (at max capacity) will use all of that across multiple microservices.
That's just a single project.
In the world there are tens of thousands of projects that need such capacity and even with a 1M or 100M TPS for a single chain (decentralized database), it will just never be enough.
So as
@el33th4xor has been saying for years. Every decently sized project will need its own chain.
Speed and Capacity are just the beginning though. Every decently sized project will want Performance/Fault Isolation.
If "Off the Grid" does 100k TPS in the future, you don't want to pay the gas fee that will be needed, so that your transaction goes through. And "Off the Grid" players will not be paying hundreds of dollars in fees because an Inscription mint is happening or some other congestion related issue. If a single chain goes down, all other continue to do their job.
But ofc, this is not all. Some very high profile clients/applications will want their own rules. And not only that but some of them will be required by law to comply with a certain jurisdiction's rules. For those, using their own chain is the only way.
So the multichain approach should not only be the preferred one, it is also the only viable way to scale for the blockchain needs of the world.
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I need to stop this post here, because this will get tooo long. But the next post will explain how Teleporter and Avalanche9000 make the next step to completing this vision and Avalanche becomes viable for, probably, every application that needs a blockchain.